Mariners vs Orioles Preview: Seattle Pitchers Ready to Do Work | Point Spreads (2024)

The Seattle Mariners will head to Baltimore for a three-game series against the Orioles. Both Teams are heading into this game with a winning record. However, Baltimore is 7-3 in its last ten games, while the Mariners are just 5-5 in their most recent ten-game stretch.

Heading into the series, the Orioles have been slow to release the starters for the weekend-long series against the Mariners. However, we’ll make some educated guesses based on how the rotation has gone over the last couple of weeks.

Here’s a look at the Mariners vs Orioles preview for the three-game series on the weekend Major League Baseball schedule.

Mariners vs Orioles

Records: Seattle Mariners (24-20), Baltimore Orioles (27-14)
Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD
Television: MASN 2, ROOTNW

Seattle’s Already Thinking About Trades?

The Seattle Mariners are leading the AL West heading into the weekend. However, they’ve only gone 5-5 over the last ten games and aren’t playing their best baseball right now.

Seattle media is questioning whether the Mariners need to add some new talent by the MLB Trade Deadline. While the Deadline is still far away, we’ve already had one major blockbuster trade this season.

The Mariners will certainly be buyers if they can hold onto their lead in the AL West.

Baltimore’s Starting Rotation Is Unclear

The Orioles were washed out on Tuesday, allowing Kyle Bradish to start in Wednesday’s game instead of Cole Irvin. Therefore, Cole Irvin will likely get the start in the first game of this series, followed by John Means and Dean Kremer.

Meanwhile, Grayson Rodriguez just had another successful side session on Sunday. He’ll eventually head back into the rotation and off the injured list. As we continue to look at the Baltimore Orioles standings, we’ll see if the Orioles go with a six-man rotation.

Mariners vs Orioles Preview & Odds For Game 1:

RL: Orioles -1.5 (+150) ML: Orioles -132, O/U 8 -115/-105

Game 1

Friday, 7:05 pm ET
Bryce Miller vs. Cole Irvin

It’ll be Bryce Miller for Game 1 of the series for Seattle. The right-handed pitcher has a 2.66 ERA on the season and has held his first 183 batters to a .259 wOBA. In addition, he’s dominated against right-handed pitching, holding them to a .103 ISO and wOBA. But more importantly, he’s struck out 27.9% of batters and has allowed only 8.2% of walks.

Meanwhile, the Orioles’ projected lineup has hit a .194 ISO and wOBA of .316 against righties this season. Jorge Mateo has brought those numbers down. However, the rest of the group has high ISO numbers and/or low strikeouts. There’s plenty of potential with the Orioles lineup against righties. They’re just going to have a tough weekend facing three outstanding right-handed pitchers on the Mariners.

Baltimore will pitch lefty Cole Irvin for Game 1. Irvin hasn’t added many strikeouts, but he’s held teams to a .106 ISO and wOBA of .273 with 50.4% of grounders and just 5% of walks.

Seattle hits lefties much better than righties this year. Mitch Garver, Cal Raleigh, Dylan Moore, and Luis Urias have all hit a high ISO and wOBA number against lefties this year. The potential is there against Cole Irvin in Game 1 of this series.

However, both pitchers have ultimately outshined the hitters to begin the season. We’d back the under 8 (-105) in Game 1. When Miller is on the mound, the MLB scores are typically low.

Game 2

Saturday, 4:05 pm ET
Luis Castillo vs. John Means

In Game 2 of the series, Luis Castillo will get the call. Castillo is a righty for the Mariners with a low ERA. He’s holding a 3.31 ERA but has a 4-5 record. Overall, he’s struck out nearly 29% of batters and has only walked 4.1%. Like Miller, he’s allowed a low wOBA but has also given up a .172 ISO. Most of the power comes from the lefties against Castillo. He’s allowed a .248 ISO and wOBA of .384, despite only walking 3.8% of lefties this season.

Castillo will duel against another lefty in John Means. Means has only faced 44 batters this season, but he’s walked none and has added 25% of strikeouts with a wOBA of .268. That likely won’t last, as he’s also allowed 46.9% of fly balls with only 18.8% of ground balls.

The Mariners have more potential against lefties. Therefore, per our Mariners vs Orioles preview, we’ll back the Mariners in Game 2 on the road.

Game 3

Sunday, 1:35 pm ET
George Kirby vs. Dean Kremer

The Mariners will conclude the series with another fantastic pitcher, George Kirby. Kirby is another righty with a 3.58 ERA on the year. He’s struck out 25% while only walking 2.5%. Like the other Mariners righties ahead of him, Kirby has allowed a low wOBA and a .156 ISO. Kirby allows power but rarely allows it with guys on base.

Kirby will be paired up against Dean Kremer of the Orioles. He’s a righty who has allowed a .280 wOBA with 25.3% of strikeouts and 8.1% of walks. He’s allowed a high rate of extra-base hits to both sides of the plate, but like Kirby, he rarely gives up extra-base hits with guys on base.

Meanwhile, against righties, the Mariners’ projected lineup has hit a .133 ISO and wOBA of .302 with 28.2% of strikeouts. Only Josh Rojas and Dylan Moore have hit a high ISO and wOBA number against righties this year.

The under would also be the play in Game 3. Ultimately, all of the Seattle Mariners starters in this series are elite pitchers.

ForMLB picks, odds analysis, and more, visitPoint SpreadsSports Magazine.

Can’t get enough? Here’s more!

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Mariners vs Orioles Preview: Seattle Pitchers Ready to Do Work | Point Spreads (2024)


Who's favored to win the 2024 World Series? ›

The MLB season is gaining momentum, and the Dodgers and Braves remain favorites to win the World Series. Los Angeles had a busy offseason.

What does +350 odds mean? ›

For favorites you are always risking the money to win $100, and with underdogs you risk $100 to win the amount. A -135 favorite means you must risk $135 to win $100 from the sportsbook. You either lose $135, win $100, or your wager is a push. A +350 underdog means you risk only $100, but you win $350.

Who is favored on Moneyline? ›

The “favorite” in a game, tournament or event is the side viewed by the betting market as most likely to win. Moneyline favorites are almost always denoted with a minus sign (we'll explain the “almost” part later). Moneylines are typically shown in American odds and are based on a $100 wager.

Who has won the Al East the most? ›


New York has also won a record 40 American League pennants and 20 AL East Division titles. The Yankees' 27 championships are the most of any team across the major U.S. professional sports.

What are the odds of the Phillies winning the NL East? ›

To claim the division crown, Philadelphia remains an underdog to win the NL East with a price of +175 or an implied probability of 36.4%. But that's a notable improvement from a +325 preseason price. For comparison, the Atlanta Braves have moved from -275 to -225 to win the NL East for the seventh consecutive season.

What does +5000 odds mean? ›


Odds accompanied with a positive sign (+) indicate that this is the underdog and this outcome will have a lower chance of winning compared to a favorite, however underdogs will yield a higher profit if they win. The implied win probability of +5000 odds is 1.96%.

Which team has the best odds to win the World Series? ›

The Los Angeles Dodgers are the favorites to win the World Series at +320 odds as they have signed superstar Shohei Ohtani. The Atlanta Braves have the next best World Series odds at +480, followed by the New York Yankees at +700.

What are the World Series odds? ›

2024 World Series Opening Odds
  • Los Angeles Dodgers: +320.
  • Atlanta Braves: +380.
  • New York Yankees: +650.
  • Baltimore Orioles: +950.
  • Philadelphia Phillies: +950.
  • Seattle Mariners: +1400.
  • Minnesota Twins: +1500.
  • Texas Rangers: +2000.

What does plus 400 odds mean? ›

Bets with lower implied probability are given a positive value. For example, a bet placed at +400 odds would profit $400 on a $100 wager. The positive value indicates that the odds are “plus money” and return more profit than the amount risked on the bet.

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